{UTF-8} Fee CV= IF THEN ELSE( Time>program start year , Fee imposed on a new CV ,0 ) ~ ~ | rebate EV= IF THEN ELSE(Time>program start year, Rebate for purchase of a new EV, 0 ) ~ ~ | Rebate for purchase of a new EV= 8000 ~ ~ | program start year= 2020 ~ ~ 2020 means the program is never started since the simulation is over in \ 2016 | Fee imposed on a new CV= 2000 ~ ~ | price CNG= base price for a CNG-rebate CNG ~ ~ | U4 HEV= coef 4A*emission fr HEV+coef 4B*(emission fr HEV)^2 ~ ~ | price HEV= base price for a HEV-rebate HEV ~ ~ | annual emissions AL= annual travel AL*emission fr AL*standard emissions ~ ~ | annual emissions CNG= annual travel CNG*emission fr CNG*standard emissions ~ ~ | Market Share AL= e to the Ual/denominator ~ ~ | annual emissions EV= annual travel EV*emission fr EV*standard emissions ~ ~ | annual emissions HEV= annual travel HEV*emission fr HEV*standard emissions ~ ~ | Market Share EV= e to the Uev/denominator ~ ~ | annual travel AL= Cars AL*annual travel per AL ~ ~ | annual travel CNG= Cars CNG*annual travel per CNG ~ ~ | annual travel EV= Cars EV*annual travel per EV ~ ~ | annual travel HEV= Cars HEV*annual travel per HEV ~ ~ | annual travel per AL= 10 ~ ~ thousands of miles per yr | annual travel per CNG= 10 ~ ~ thousands of miles per yr | range CNG= 200 ~ ~ page 261 | annual travel per EV= 10 ~ ~ thousands of miles per yr | annual travel per HEV= 10 ~ ~ thousands of miles per yr | Balance in Fund= INTEG ( fees collected+interest earned or charged-rebates paid, 100) ~ ~ the fund starts out with $100 million | base price for a CNG= 20000 ~ ~ $ per car see page 261 | base price for a CV= 15000 ~ ~ $ per car | base price for a HEV= 27000 ~ ~ $ per car see page 261 | base price for an AL= 18000 ~ ~ $ per car | base price for an EV= 25000 ~ ~ $ per car see page 261 | Cars AL= INTEG ( +sales AL-retired AL, 0) ~ ~ | Cars CNG= INTEG ( +sales CNG-retired CNG, 0) ~ ~ | Cars CV= INTEG ( +sales CV-retired new CVs-retirements of existing CVs, 10) ~ ~ | Cars EV= INTEG ( +sales EV-retired EV, 0) ~ ~ | Cars HEV= INTEG ( +sales HEV-retired HEV, 0) ~ ~ | coef 1= -0.143 ~ ~ | coef 2= -0.175 ~ ~ | coef 3A= 2.06 ~ ~ | coef 3B= -0.303 ~ ~ | coef 4A= -3.08 ~ ~ | coef 4B= 1.53 ~ ~ | coef 5A= 2.24 ~ ~ | coef 5B= -0.956 ~ ~ | coef 6= 0.00796 ~ ~ | denominator= e to the Ucv+e to the Ual+e to the Uev+e to the Uhev+e to the Ucng ~ ~ the denominator is the Sum of e to the u | e to the Ual= EXP(U AL) ~ ~ | e to the Ucng= EXP(U CNG) ~ ~ | e to the Ucv= EXP(U CV) ~ ~ | e to the Uev= EXP(U EV) ~ ~ | e to the Uhev= EXP(U HEV) ~ ~ | emission fr AL= 0.81 ~ ~ see page 261 | emission fr CNG= 0.42 ~ ~ see page 261 | U1 EV= coef 1*price EV/1000 ~ ~ see equation on page 265 | emission fr EV= 0 ~ ~ see page 261 | emission fr HEV= 0.37 ~ ~ see page 261 | U2 CNG= coef 2*fuel cost CNG ~ ~ | Fee AL= 0 ~ ~ | fees collected= sales CV*Fee CV+sales AL*Fee AL ~ ~ | fuel availability AL= 0.2 ~ ~ page 261 | fuel availability CNG= 0.25 ~ ~ page 261 | fuel availability CV= 1 ~ ~ page 261 | fuel availability EV= 0.5 ~ ~ page 261 | fuel availability HEV= 1 ~ ~ page 261 | fuel cost AL= 7.2 ~ ~ 4.7 cents per mile on page 261 | fuel cost CNG= 2.6 ~ ~ see page 261 | fuel cost CV= 4.7 ~ ~ 4.7 cents per mile on page 261 | fuel cost EV= 5.3 ~ ~ see page 261 | fuel cost HEV= 6.4 ~ ~ see page 261 | horse power AL= 134 ~ ~ page 261 | horse power CNG= 115 ~ ~ page 261 | horse power CV= 121 ~ ~ page 261 | horse power EV= 65 ~ ~ page 261 | horse power HEV= 85 ~ ~ page 261 | interest earned or charged= Balance in Fund*interest rate ~ ~ the same interest rate applies whether the fund is earning interest or if \ the fund is in the red and their are charges for the borrowing | interest rate= 0.065 ~ ~ | lifetime AL= 10 ~ ~ | lifetime CNG= 10 ~ ~ | U6 HEV= coef 6*horse power HEV ~ ~ | lifetime EV= 10 ~ ~ | lifetime HEV= 10 ~ ~ | U CNG= U1 CNG+U2 CNG+U3 CNG+U4 CNG+U5 CNG+U6 CNG ~ ~ | Market Share CNG= e to the Ucng/denominator ~ ~ | Market Share CV= e to the Ucv/denominator ~ ~ | U HEV= U1 HEV+U2 HEV+U3 HEV+U4 HEV+U5 HEV+U6 HEV ~ ~ | Market Share HEV= e to the Uhev/denominator ~ ~ | price AL= base price for an AL+Fee AL ~ ~ | U1 CV= coef 1*price CV/1000 ~ ~ see equation on page 265 | price CV= base price for a CV+Fee CV ~ ~ | price EV= base price for an EV-rebate EV ~ ~ | range AL= 250 ~ ~ page 261 | U2 CV= coef 2*fuel cost CV ~ ~ | range CV= 450 ~ ~ page 261 | range EV= 100 ~ ~ page 261 | range HEV= 200 ~ ~ page 261 | rebate CNG= 0 ~ ~ | rebate HEV= 0 ~ ~ | rebates paid= sales EV*rebate EV+sales HEV*rebate HEV+sales CNG*rebate CNG ~ ~ | retired AL= DELAY FIXED(sales AL, lifetime AL ,0 ) ~ ~ | retired CNG= DELAY FIXED(sales CNG, lifetime CNG ,0 ) ~ ~ | retired EV= DELAY FIXED(sales EV, lifetime EV ,0 ) ~ ~ | retired HEV= DELAY FIXED(sales HEV, lifetime HEV ,0 ) ~ ~ | retired new CVs= DELAY FIXED(sales CV, lifetime CV ,0 ) ~ ~ | retirements of existing CVs= IF THEN ELSE(Time<2010,1 , 0) ~ ~ | sales AL= Market Share AL*total sales ~ ~ | sales CNG= Market Share CNG*total sales ~ ~ | sales CV= Market Share CV*total sales ~ ~ | sales EV= Market Share EV*total sales ~ ~ | sales HEV= Market Share HEV*total sales ~ ~ | U6 CNG= coef 6*horse power CNG ~ ~ | Total Cars in Use= Cars CV+Cars EV+Cars HEV+Cars AL+Cars CNG ~ ~ | Total Emissions= annual emissions AL+annual emissions CNG+annual emissions CV+annual emissions EV+annual emissions HEV ~ ~ | U3 CNG= coef 3A*(range CNG/100)+coef 3B*(range CNG/100)^2 ~ ~ | U AL= U1 AL+U2 AL+U3 AL+U4 AL+U5 AL+U6 AL ~ ~ | U3 EV= coef 3A*(range EV/100)+coef 3B*(range EV/100)^2 ~ ~ | U CV= U1 CV+U2 CV+U3 CV+U4 CV+U5 CV+U6 CV ~ ~ | U EV= U1 EV+U2 EV+U3 EV+U4 EV+U5 EV+U6 EV ~ ~ | U4 CNG= coef 4A*emission fr CNG+coef 4B*(emission fr CNG)^2 ~ ~ | U1 AL= coef 1*price AL/1000 ~ ~ see equation on page 265 | U1 CNG= coef 1*price CNG/1000 ~ ~ see equation on page 265 | U5 AL= coef 5A*fuel availability AL+coef 5B*(fuel availability AL)^2 ~ ~ | U1 HEV= coef 1*price HEV/1000 ~ ~ see equation on page 265 | U2 AL= coef 2*fuel cost AL ~ ~ | U5 EV= coef 5A*fuel availability EV+coef 5B*(fuel availability EV)^2 ~ ~ | U5 HEV= coef 5A*fuel availability HEV+coef 5B*(fuel availability HEV)^2 ~ ~ | U2 EV= coef 2*fuel cost EV ~ ~ | U2 HEV= coef 2*fuel cost HEV ~ ~ | U3 AL= coef 3A*(range AL/100)+coef 3B*(range AL/100)^2 ~ ~ | U6 EV= coef 6*horse power EV ~ ~ | U3 CV= coef 3A*(range CV/100)+coef 3B*(range CV/100)^2 ~ ~ | U5 CNG= coef 5A*fuel availability CNG+coef 5B*(fuel availability CNG)^2 ~ ~ | U3 HEV= coef 3A*(range HEV/100)+coef 3B*(range HEV/100)^2 ~ ~ | U4 AL= coef 4A*emission fr AL+coef 4B*(emission fr AL)^2 ~ ~ | U4 EV= coef 4A*emission fr EV+coef 4B*(emission fr EV)^2 ~ ~ | U4 CV= coef 4A*emission fr CV+coef 4B*(emission fr CV)^2 ~ ~ | U5 CV= coef 5A*fuel availability CV+coef 5B*(fuel availability CV)^2 ~ ~ | U6 CV= coef 6*horse power CV ~ ~ | U6 AL= coef 6*horse power AL ~ ~ | annual emissions CV= annual travel CV*emission fr CV*standard emissions ~ ~ | annual sales of new cars in first year of simulation= 1.6 ~ ~ 1.6 million vehicles sold in first year | annual travel CV= Cars CV*annual travel per CV ~ ~ | annual travel per CV= 10 ~ ~ thousands of miles per yr | emission fr CV= 1 ~ ~ see page 261 | exponential growth rate in annual sales= 0.047 ~ ~ 4.7%/year is very rapid growth. this high rate of growth was selected to \ give a rapid increase in emissions in fig 20.1 on page 262 of the book | lifetime CV= 10 ~ ~ | standard emissions= 0.25 ~ ~ .25 grams of HC per mile | total sales= annual sales of new cars in first year of simulation*EXP(exponential growth rate in annual sales\ *(Time-2000)) ~ ~ | ******************************************************** .Control ********************************************************~ Simulation Control Parameters | FINAL TIME = 2016 ~ Year ~ The final time for the simulation. | INITIAL TIME = 2000 ~ Year ~ The initial time for the simulation. | SAVEPER = TIME STEP ~ Year [0,?] ~ The frequency with which output is stored. | TIME STEP = 0.25 ~ Year [0,?] ~ The time step for the simulation. | \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Control Panel $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 12,1,0,375,289,348,251,3,188,0,0,1,0,0,0 Cash_Flow 12,2,0,112,568,84,20,3,252,0,0,0,0,0,0 program start year,2000,2020,1 12,3,0,341,569,106,22,3,252,0,0,0,0,0,0 Fee imposed on a new CV,0,8000,100 12,5,0,592,565,112,21,3,252,0,0,0,0,0,0 Rebate for purchase of a new EV,0,8000,100 12,6,0,355,17,280,16,3,132,0,0,-1,2,0,0 Feebate Testing with Vensim PLE: using SyntheSim over the entire 16-year interval 12,7,0,812,166,77,127,3,132,0,0,0,0,0,0 This view is designed for SyntheSim simulations over the entire 16 year interval. These simulations give a dramatically different impression than the "pause and think" simulations conduced in the gaming mode, like the simulation in Fig. 16.4 in the 2nd Edition. 12,8,0,814,348,76,51,3,132,0,0,-1,0,0,0 Note: The Vensim PLE (free) software does not support "gaming" simulations. \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Balance in Fund $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 10,1,Balance in Fund,397,235,62,39,3,3,0,24,0,4,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|18|B|0-0-0 12,2,48,115,226,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,3,5,1,4,0,0,16,3,0,0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0,1|(272,224)| 1,4,5,2,100,0,0,16,3,0,0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0,1|(161,224)| 11,5,48,203,224,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,6,fees collected,203,243,43,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,7,48,725,221,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,8,10,7,4,0,0,16,3,0,0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0,1|(668,220)| 1,9,10,1,100,0,0,16,3,0,0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0,1|(534,220)| 11,10,48,615,220,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,11,rebates paid,615,239,39,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,12,48,390,438,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,13,15,1,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(394,305)| 1,14,15,12,68,0,0,22,2,0,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(394,389)| 11,15,48,394,343,8,6,33,3,0,0,4,0,0,0 10,16,interest earned or charged,458,343,56,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,17,interest rate,452,407,37,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,18,17,16,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(470,390)| 1,19,1,16,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(456,283)| 10,20,Fee AL,289,308,26,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,21,sales AL,284,339,38,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,22,sales CV,91,268,39,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,23,22,6,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(138,267)| 1,24,21,6,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(225,298)| 1,25,20,6,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(231,284)| 10,26,sales EV,558,301,38,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,27,sales HEV,720,374,43,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,28,sales CNG,750,278,45,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,29,rebate EV,583,357,48,13,8,3,0,24,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16|B|0-0-0 10,30,rebate HEV,725,350,39,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,31,rebate CNG,757,306,40,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 12,32,0,203,489,141,33,3,4,0,0,-1,3,0,0 Assume a fee would be imposed on the CV or AL vehicles, the vehicles with the higher emissions fractions 1,33,26,11,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(581,275)| 1,34,29,11,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(638,291)| 1,35,27,11,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(646,285)| 1,36,30,11,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(672,285)| 1,37,31,11,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(685,270)| 1,38,28,11,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(709,260)| 12,39,0,730,492,141,33,3,4,0,0,-1,3,0,0 Assume a rebate would be paid on the EV, HEV and CNG vehicles, the vehicles with the lower emissions fractions 12,40,0,96,97,79,92,3,132,0,0,-1,2,0,0 This is the Vensim PLE version of the cash flow model in Fig 16.3 of the 2nd Edition. The balance in the fund is in millions of $. The initial balance is $100 million. 10,41,Fee CV,120,327,37,13,8,3,0,24,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16|B|0-0-0 1,42,41,6,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(157,315)| 10,43,Time,65,407,26,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,44,43,41,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(68,354)| 10,45,Time,522,428,26,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,46,45,29,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(537,421)| 10,47,program start year,191,433,58,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,48,47,41,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(112,429)| 10,49,program start year,516,468,48,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,50,Fee imposed on a new CV,211,386,57,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,51,Rebate for purchase of a new EV,666,426,65,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,52,51,29,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(641,403)| 1,53,50,41,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(195,349)| 12,54,0,391,120,132,38,8,4,0,0,-1,0,0,0 to see if we get a match with Fig 16.4, set the program start year to 2004 and try a CV fee of $2,000 and an EV rebate of $8,000 1,55,49,29,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(565,435)| 12,56,0,475,33,115,28,8,4,0,0,-1,0,0,0 to get a match with base case results set the program start year to 4000 (ie, the program is never started) \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Vehicles Sector $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,5,0 10,1,Cars CV,409,111,44,29,3,3,0,8,0,4,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14||0-0-0 12,2,48,580,109,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,3,5,2,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(551,110)| 1,4,5,1,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(486,110)| 11,5,48,526,110,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,6,retired new CVs,526,131,55,13,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,7,48,259,110,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,8,10,1,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(341,111)| 1,9,10,7,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(287,111)| 11,10,48,312,111,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,11,sales CV,312,130,30,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,12,lifetime CV,554,175,36,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,13,11,6,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(425,159)| 1,14,12,6,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(549,154)| 10,15,annual travel per CV,274,185,49,18,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,16,annual travel CV,407,187,53,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,17,standard emissions,257,228,59,10,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,18,emission fr CV,522,207,45,18,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,19,annual emissions CV,390,231,46,15,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,20,15,16,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(318,165)| 1,21,1,16,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(383,155)| 1,22,16,19,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(389,206)| 1,23,17,19,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(344,218)| 1,24,18,19,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(453,203)| 10,25,total sales,232,84,41,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,26,25,11,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(238,108)| 10,27,Cars EV,415,293,40,20,3,3,0,8,0,4,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14||0-0-0 12,28,48,566,295,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,29,31,28,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(532,295)| 1,30,31,27,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(476,295)| 11,31,48,503,295,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,32,retired EV,503,319,34,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,33,48,270,294,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,34,36,27,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(352,295)| 1,35,36,33,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(298,295)| 11,36,48,323,295,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,37,sales EV,323,314,29,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,38,lifetime EV,576,354,35,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,39,37,32,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(413,326)| 1,40,38,32,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(549,330)| 10,41,annual travel per EV,282,360,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,42,annual travel EV,432,355,52,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,43,emission fr EV,588,416,33,17,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,44,annual emissions EV,461,406,48,21,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,45,41,42,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(351,369)| 1,46,27,42,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(386,323)| 1,47,42,44,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(430,385)| 1,48,43,44,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(543,383)| 10,49,total sales,224,281,41,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,50,49,37,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(246,302)| 10,51,standard emissions,333,401,35,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,52,51,44,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(379,379)| 12,53,0,247,49,62,19,3,4,0,24,-1,2,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|10|B|0-0-0 CV = Conventional Vehicles 12,54,0,227,396,43,18,3,4,0,24,-1,2,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|10|B|0-0-0 EV = Electric Vehicles 10,55,Time,361,57,26,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 12,56,48,568,50,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,57,59,56,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(500,50)| 1,58,59,1,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(435,69)| 11,59,48,435,50,8,6,33,3,0,0,4,0,0,0 10,60,retirements of existing CVs,487,50,44,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,61,55,60,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(386,33)| 10,62,Cars HEV,418,459,42,20,3,3,0,8,0,4,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14||0-0-0 12,63,48,567,461,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,64,66,63,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(533,461)| 1,65,66,62,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(479,461)| 11,66,48,504,461,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,67,retired HEV,504,485,39,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,68,48,271,460,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,69,71,62,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(353,461)| 1,70,71,68,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(299,461)| 11,71,48,324,461,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,72,sales HEV,324,480,34,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,73,lifetime HEV,577,520,41,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,74,72,67,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(414,492)| 1,75,73,67,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(550,496)| 10,76,annual travel per HEV,293,529,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,77,annual travel HEV,433,521,57,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,78,emission fr HEV,583,558,40,15,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,79,annual emissions HEV,448,578,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,80,76,77,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(358,535)| 1,81,62,77,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(387,489)| 1,82,77,79,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(424,550)| 1,83,78,79,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(532,534)| 10,84,total sales,225,447,41,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,85,84,72,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(247,468)| 10,86,standard emissions,322,572,35,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,87,86,79,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(368,550)| 12,88,0,220,557,43,22,3,4,0,24,-1,2,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|10|B|0-0-0 HEV = Hybrid Electric Vehicles 10,89,Cars AL,860,45,40,20,3,3,0,8,0,4,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14||0-0-0 12,90,48,1011,47,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,91,93,90,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(977,47)| 1,92,93,89,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(921,47)| 11,93,48,948,47,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,94,retired AL,948,71,34,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,95,48,715,46,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,96,98,89,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(797,47)| 1,97,98,95,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(743,47)| 11,98,48,768,47,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,99,sales AL,768,66,29,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,100,lifetime AL,1021,106,35,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,101,99,94,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(858,78)| 1,102,100,94,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(994,82)| 10,103,annual travel per AL,745,130,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,104,annual travel AL,877,107,52,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,105,emission fr AL,1006,146,46,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,106,annual emissions AL,876,168,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,107,103,104,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(807,128)| 1,108,89,104,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(831,75)| 1,109,104,106,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(859,133)| 1,110,105,106,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(950,133)| 10,111,total sales,669,33,41,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,112,111,99,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(691,54)| 10,113,standard emissions,773,209,35,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,114,113,106,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(803,177)| 12,115,0,695,172,43,22,3,4,0,24,-1,2,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|10|B|0-0-0 AL = Alcohol fueled vehicles 10,116,Cars CNG,891,313,40,20,3,3,0,8,0,4,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14||0-0-0 12,117,48,1028,316,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,118,120,117,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1001,315)| 1,119,120,116,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(952,315)| 11,120,48,979,315,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,121,retired CNG,979,339,41,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,122,48,746,314,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,123,125,116,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(828,315)| 1,124,125,122,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(774,315)| 11,125,48,799,315,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,126,sales CNG,799,334,36,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,127,lifetime CNG,1052,374,42,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,128,126,121,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(889,346)| 1,129,127,121,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1025,350)| 10,130,annual travel per CNG,761,398,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,131,annual travel CNG,908,375,59,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,132,emission fr CNG,1037,414,53,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,133,annual emissions CNG,907,436,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,134,130,131,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(830,398)| 1,135,116,131,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(862,343)| 1,136,131,133,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(890,401)| 1,137,132,133,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(981,401)| 10,138,total sales,700,301,41,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,139,138,126,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(722,322)| 10,140,standard emissions,776,440,35,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,141,140,133,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(822,413)| 12,142,0,695,434,42,32,3,4,0,24,-1,2,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|10|B|0-0-0 CNG = Compressed Natural Gas vehicles 12,143,0,857,529,200,47,3,4,0,8,-1,3,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14|B|0-0-0 This is the vehicles sector using Vensim PLE, the free version. PLE does not have arrays, so there are separate equations for each of the vehicle types 10,144,Market Share CV,212,146,49,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,145,Market Share EV,213,330,49,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,146,Market Share HEV,216,483,48,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,147,Market Share AL,658,98,49,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,148,Market Share CNG,678,360,49,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,149,144,11,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(253,156)| 1,150,145,37,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(246,334)| 1,151,146,72,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(275,499)| 1,152,147,99,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(730,100)| 1,153,148,126,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(728,367)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Market Share Equation $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 12,1,0,339,51,166,22,3,4,0,24,-1,4,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16|B|0-0-0 The market share equation 10,2,e to the Uev,179,283,46,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,3,e to the Ual,205,138,46,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,4,e to the Ucng,231,397,52,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,5,e to the Ucv,299,103,48,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,6,e to the Uhev,227,340,52,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,7,denominator,309,220,40,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,8,5,7,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(299,144)| 1,9,3,7,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(242,169)| 1,10,2,7,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(228,276)| 1,11,6,7,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(260,304)| 1,12,4,7,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(293,343)| 10,13,Market Share CV,457,133,57,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,14,Market Share AL,481,170,56,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,15,Market Share EV,480,231,56,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,16,Market Share HEV,454,305,45,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,17,Market Share CNG,439,364,45,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,18,5,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(374,105)| 1,19,7,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(332,167)| 1,20,3,14,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(375,143)| 1,21,7,14,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(346,188)| 1,22,2,15,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(326,268)| 1,23,7,15,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(394,217)| 1,24,6,16,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(337,322)| 1,25,7,16,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(360,235)| 1,26,4,17,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(297,379)| 1,27,7,17,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(368,294)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Utility of a CV $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 12,1,0,557,98,97,40,3,4,0,24,-1,3,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14|B|0-0-0 the total utility of a CV is the sum of utilities from 6 attributes 10,2,coef 1,84,71,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,3,coef 2,64,186,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,4,coef 3A,74,246,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,5,coef 3B,71,286,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,6,coef 4A,83,338,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,7,coef 4B,74,368,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,8,coef 5A,92,441,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,9,coef 5B,81,479,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,10,coef 6,81,531,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,11,base price for a CV,106,28,50,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,12,price CV,204,60,30,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,13,U1 CV,382,98,25,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,14,11,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(182,27)| 1,15,2,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(192,90)| 1,16,12,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(287,62)| 10,17,fuel cost CV,95,129,40,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,18,U2 CV,275,160,25,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,19,range CV,185,197,32,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,20,emission fr CV,210,280,56,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,21,fuel availability CV,228,373,59,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,22,horse power CV,244,478,53,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,23,U3 CV,298,235,25,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,24,U4 CV,322,329,25,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,25,U5 CV,314,426,25,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,26,U6 CV,347,520,25,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,27,17,18,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(198,116)| 1,28,3,18,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(139,144)| 1,29,4,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(153,224)| 1,30,5,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(141,255)| 1,31,19,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(232,192)| 1,32,6,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(198,313)| 1,33,7,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(146,340)| 1,34,20,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(313,311)| 1,35,8,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(173,407)| 1,36,9,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(172,441)| 1,37,21,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(301,391)| 1,38,10,26,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(223,547)| 1,39,22,26,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(321,495)| 10,40,U CV,462,246,21,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,41,13,40,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(422,153)| 1,42,18,40,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(355,172)| 1,43,23,40,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(368,213)| 1,44,24,40,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(352,302)| 1,45,25,40,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(390,360)| 1,46,26,40,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(410,459)| 10,47,e to the Ucv,582,254,43,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,48,40,47,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(501,228)| 12,49,0,576,332,89,28,8,4,0,0,-1,2,0,0 e to the U power -- see the market share equation in chapter 16 10,50,Fee CV,264,22,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,51,50,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(224,29)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Utilility of an EV $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 12,1,0,560,110,100,35,3,4,0,24,-1,3,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14|B|0-0-0 the total utility of an EV is the sum of utilities from 6 attributes 10,2,coef 1,84,71,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,3,coef 2,64,186,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,4,coef 3A,74,246,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,5,coef 3B,71,286,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,6,coef 4A,83,338,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,7,coef 4B,74,368,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,8,coef 5A,92,441,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,9,coef 5B,81,479,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,10,coef 6,81,531,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,11,base price for an EV,106,28,54,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,12,price EV,204,60,29,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,13,U1 EV,382,98,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,14,11,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(182,27)| 1,15,2,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(192,90)| 1,16,12,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(287,62)| 10,17,fuel cost EV,95,129,39,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,18,U2 EV,275,160,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,19,range EV,185,197,31,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,20,fuel availability EV,228,373,58,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,21,horse power EV,244,478,52,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,22,U3 EV,298,235,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,23,U4 EV,322,329,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,24,U5 EV,314,426,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,25,U6 EV,347,520,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,26,17,18,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(198,116)| 1,27,3,18,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(139,144)| 1,28,4,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(153,224)| 1,29,5,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(141,255)| 1,30,19,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(232,192)| 1,31,6,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(198,313)| 1,32,7,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(146,340)| 1,33,8,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(173,407)| 1,34,9,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(172,441)| 1,35,20,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(301,391)| 1,36,10,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(223,547)| 1,37,21,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(321,495)| 10,38,U EV,462,246,20,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,39,13,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(422,153)| 1,40,18,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(355,172)| 1,41,22,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(368,213)| 1,42,23,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(352,302)| 1,43,24,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(390,360)| 1,44,25,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(410,459)| 10,45,e to the Uev,582,254,39,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,46,38,45,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(501,228)| 12,47,0,578,314,92,28,8,4,0,16,-1,2,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|I|0-0-0 e to the U power -- see the market share equation in chapter 16 10,48,rebate EV,291,36,42,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,49,48,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(252,28)| 10,50,emission fr EV,198,291,55,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,51,50,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(288,296)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Utility of a HEV $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 12,1,0,560,110,100,35,3,4,0,24,-1,3,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14|B|0-0-0 the total utility of a HEV is the sum of utilities from 6 attributes 10,2,coef 1,84,71,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,3,coef 2,64,186,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,4,coef 3A,74,246,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,5,coef 3B,71,286,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,6,coef 4A,83,338,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,7,coef 4B,74,368,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,8,coef 5A,92,441,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,9,coef 5B,81,479,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,10,coef 6,81,531,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,11,base price for a HEV,106,28,50,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,12,price HEV,204,60,35,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,13,U1 HEV,382,98,29,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,14,11,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(182,27)| 1,15,2,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(192,90)| 1,16,12,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(287,62)| 10,17,fuel cost HEV,95,129,45,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,18,U2 HEV,275,160,29,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,19,range HEV,185,197,36,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,20,fuel availability HEV,228,373,46,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,21,horse power HEV,244,478,58,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,22,U3 HEV,298,235,29,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,23,U4 HEV,322,329,29,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,24,U5 HEV,314,426,29,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,25,U6 HEV,347,520,29,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,26,17,18,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(198,116)| 1,27,3,18,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(139,144)| 1,28,4,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(153,224)| 1,29,5,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(141,255)| 1,30,19,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(232,192)| 1,31,6,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(198,313)| 1,32,7,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(146,340)| 1,33,8,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(173,407)| 1,34,9,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(172,441)| 1,35,20,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(301,391)| 1,36,10,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(223,547)| 1,37,21,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(321,495)| 10,38,U HEV,462,246,25,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,39,13,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(422,153)| 1,40,18,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(355,172)| 1,41,22,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(368,213)| 1,42,23,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(352,302)| 1,43,24,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(390,360)| 1,44,25,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(410,459)| 10,45,e to the Uhev,582,254,43,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,46,38,45,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(501,228)| 12,47,0,578,314,92,28,8,4,0,16,-1,2,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|I|0-0-0 e to the U power -- see the market share equation in chapter 16 10,48,emission fr HEV,199,281,39,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,49,48,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(261,281)| 10,50,rebate HEV,314,45,48,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,51,50,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(254,23)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Utility of a CNG $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 12,1,0,560,110,100,35,3,4,0,24,-1,3,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14|B|0-0-0 the total utility of a CNG is the sum of utilities from 6 attributes 10,2,coef 1,84,71,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,3,coef 2,64,186,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,4,coef 3A,74,246,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,5,coef 3B,71,286,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,6,coef 4A,83,338,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,7,coef 4B,74,368,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,8,coef 5A,92,441,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,9,coef 5B,81,479,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,10,coef 6,81,531,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,11,base price for a CNG,106,28,50,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,12,price CNG,204,60,36,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,13,U1 CNG,382,98,31,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,14,11,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(182,27)| 1,15,2,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(192,90)| 1,16,12,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(287,62)| 10,17,fuel cost CNG,95,129,46,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,18,U2 CNG,275,160,31,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,19,range CNG,185,197,38,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,20,fuel availability CNG,228,373,46,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,21,horse power CNG,244,478,59,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,22,U3 CNG,298,235,31,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,23,U4 CNG,322,329,31,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,24,U5 CNG,314,426,31,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,25,U6 CNG,347,520,31,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,26,17,18,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(198,116)| 1,27,3,18,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(139,144)| 1,28,4,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(153,224)| 1,29,5,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(141,255)| 1,30,19,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(232,192)| 1,31,6,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(198,313)| 1,32,7,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(146,340)| 1,33,8,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(173,407)| 1,34,9,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(172,441)| 1,35,20,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(301,391)| 1,36,10,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(223,547)| 1,37,21,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(321,495)| 10,38,U CNG,462,246,27,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,39,13,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(422,153)| 1,40,18,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(355,172)| 1,41,22,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(368,213)| 1,42,23,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(352,302)| 1,43,24,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(390,360)| 1,44,25,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(410,459)| 10,45,e to the Ucng,582,254,43,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,46,38,45,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(501,228)| 12,47,0,578,314,92,28,8,4,0,16,-1,2,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|I|0-0-0 e to the U power -- see the market share equation in chapter 16 10,48,emission fr CNG,252,271,39,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,49,48,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(284,285)| 10,50,rebate CNG,291,45,49,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,51,50,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(243,29)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Utility of an AL vehicle $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 12,1,0,576,151,97,40,3,4,0,24,-1,3,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14|B|0-0-0 the total utility of an AL vehicle is the sum of utilities from 6 attributes 10,2,coef 1,103,124,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,3,coef 2,83,239,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,4,coef 3A,93,299,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,5,coef 3B,90,339,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,6,coef 4A,102,391,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,7,coef 4B,93,421,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,8,coef 5A,111,494,36,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,9,coef 5B,100,532,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,10,coef 6,100,584,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,11,base price for an AL,125,81,54,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,12,price AL,223,113,29,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,13,U1 AL,401,151,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,14,11,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(201,80)| 1,15,2,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(211,143)| 1,16,12,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(306,115)| 10,17,fuel cost AL,114,182,39,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,18,U2 AL,294,213,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,19,range AL,204,250,31,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,20,fuel availability AL,247,426,58,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,21,horse power AL,263,531,52,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,22,U3 AL,317,288,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,23,U4 AL,341,382,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,24,U5 AL,333,479,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,25,U6 AL,366,573,24,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,26,17,18,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(217,169)| 1,27,3,18,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(158,197)| 1,28,4,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(172,277)| 1,29,5,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(160,308)| 1,30,19,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(251,245)| 1,31,6,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(217,366)| 1,32,7,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(165,393)| 1,33,8,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(192,460)| 1,34,9,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(191,494)| 1,35,20,24,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(320,444)| 1,36,10,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(242,600)| 1,37,21,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(340,548)| 10,38,U AL,481,299,20,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,39,13,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(441,206)| 1,40,18,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(374,225)| 1,41,22,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(387,266)| 1,42,23,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(371,355)| 1,43,24,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(409,413)| 1,44,25,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(429,512)| 10,45,e to the Ual,601,307,37,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,46,38,45,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(520,281)| 12,47,0,595,385,89,28,8,4,0,0,-1,2,0,0 e to the U power -- see the market share equation in chapter 16 10,48,Fee AL,248,57,35,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,49,emission fr AL,253,340,55,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,50,48,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(247,74)| 1,51,49,23,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(320,355)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Coefficients from page 266 $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 12,1,0,136,95,113,77,3,4,0,0,-1,2,0,0 The coefficients from the Stated Preference Survey are shown in Table 16.3. They are defined here and then shadowed over to the views where the utility of each vehicle is calculated. 10,2,coef 1,63,221,21,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,3,coef 2,57,260,21,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,4,coef 3A,58,296,27,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,5,coef 3B,55,321,26,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,6,coef 4A,58,369,27,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,7,coef 4B,53,398,26,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,8,coef 5A,57,453,27,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,9,coef 5B,56,480,26,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,10,coef 6,52,526,21,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 12,11,0,135,216,28,11,8,4,0,0,-1,0,0,0 for price 12,12,0,139,260,38,11,8,4,0,0,-1,0,0,0 for fuel cost 12,13,0,142,316,29,11,8,4,0,0,-1,0,0,0 for range 12,14,0,144,384,44,18,8,4,0,0,-1,0,0,0 for emissions 12,15,0,142,459,48,20,8,4,0,0,-1,0,0,0 for fuel availability 12,16,0,152,521,51,19,8,4,0,0,-1,0,0,0 for horse power \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Totals Over All Five Vehicle Types $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 10,1,total sales,236,179,32,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,2,annual sales of new cars in first year of simulation,110,126,77,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,3,exponential growth rate in annual sales,273,127,60,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,4,Time,108,185,26,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,5,2,1,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(155,155)| 1,6,3,1,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(242,137)| 1,7,4,1,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(140,174)| 12,8,0,170,67,138,28,3,4,0,0,-1,3,0,0 Sales of new cars stars at 1.6 million/year and it grows at 4.7%/year 10,9,Cars AL,314,319,38,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,10,Cars CNG,315,387,45,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,11,Cars CV,112,312,39,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,12,Cars EV,79,335,38,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,13,Cars HEV,81,369,43,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,14,Total Cars in Use,204,352,55,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,15,11,14,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(161,313)| 1,16,12,14,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(130,365)| 1,17,13,14,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(162,390)| 1,18,9,14,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(247,309)| 1,19,10,14,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(272,349)| 12,20,0,189,264,159,25,3,4,0,0,-1,3,0,0 Total Cars in Use is 10 million at the start and grows due to growth in sales 10,21,annual emissions HEV,134,580,57,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,22,annual emissions AL,355,499,57,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,23,annual emissions CNG,327,574,57,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,24,annual emissions CV,107,487,57,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,25,annual emissions EV,118,535,57,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,26,Total Emissions,242,512,49,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,27,24,26,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(178,484)| 1,28,25,26,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(171,508)| 1,29,21,26,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(184,544)| 1,30,22,26,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(290,488)| 1,31,23,26,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(284,543)| 12,32,0,219,443,200,23,3,4,0,0,-1,3,0,0 Total Emissions is 25 million metric tons of HC in the first year. In the base case, it will grow as shown on page 262 ///---\\\ :GRAPH stacked_emissions :TITLE Stacked Graph of Emissions :X-DIV 4 :Y-DIV 6 :STACK-FILL 0 :SCALE :VAR annual emissions EV :Y-MIN 0 :Y-MAX 60 :LINE-WIDTH 3 :VAR annual emissions hev :LINE-WIDTH 3 :VAR annual emissions CNG :LINE-WIDTH 3 :VAR annual emissions AL :LINE-WIDTH 3 :VAR annual emissions CV :LINE-WIDTH 3 :GRAPH Cash_Flow :TITLE Cash Flow and Balance in Fund :X-DIV 4 :SCALE :VAR fees collected :Y-MIN 0 :Y-MAX 8000 :LINE-WIDTH 2 :VAR rebates paid :LINE-WIDTH 2 :SCALE :VAR Balance in Fund :Y-MIN -4000 :Y-MAX 4000 :LINE-WIDTH 4 :TABLE Table_of_Market_Shares :TITLE Compare Market Shares with Page 261 :PRETTYNUM :PRINT-EVERY 2 :X-MIN 2000 :X-MAX 2016 :FIRST-CELLWIDTH 20 :CELLWIDTH 10 :FONT Times New Roman|12||0-0-0 :VAR Market Share CV :VAR Market Share AL :COMLINE ------------------------------------------------------------------------ :VAR Market Share EV :VAR Market Share HEV :VAR Market Share CNG :L<%^E!@ 1:Current.vdf 1:C:\Andy's Documents\Vensim MTE models\Current.vdf 9:Current 23:0 15:0,0,0,0,0,0 19:100,0 27:2, 34:0, 4:Time 5:program start year 24:2000 25:2016 26:2016